Monday, October 11, 2010

5 football thoughts

1. BYU can still make a bowl game

To be bowl eligible a team has to win 50% of its games. BYU has already lost 4 games. Assuming they lose to TCU (4th) and Utah (11th) they would have to win every other game this season. However, the rest of the schedule is not exactly daunting: Wyoming (2-4), UNLV (1-5), CSU (1-5), and New Mexico (0-6). Assuming BYU makes and plays in a bowl game they would likely play some small team from a weak conference... BYU could have a 7 win season.

2. A BCS disaster would be better than a national championship

BSU, TCU, OSU, Oregon, LSU, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Missouri, Oklahoma State, Michigan State, Utah, Auburn, and Nevada are all currently undefeated. I don’t see anyone knocking off BSU, TCU, OSU, or Oregon. Throw in an undefeated Big 12 team, and a 0 or 1 loss SEC team and we could have 6 teams, all of which could legitimately claim they have the right to play for a national title.

Now imagine this possible scenario. BSU, TCU, OSU, Oregon, Nebraska, and MSU, all finish undefeated. Oklahoma’s only loss is in the Big 12 championship game to Nebraska, and LSU’s only loss is to Alabama who wins the SEC. Because the ACC and the Big East get automatic bids. 2 teams out of from BSU (#3), TCU (#4), or MSU (#13) Oklahoma(#6) or LSU (#9) would not get to play in a BCS Bowl game while the big east champion west Virginia (#25) and the ACC champion FSU (#16) do.

Two or more teams are going to get hosed. The more people who are angry at the current system the better shot we have at getting som sort of playoff. Whereas if BSU plays in the national championship the BCS lovers are going to claim that the system works. Worse still, if BSU loses to a good Ohio St. team the BCS lovers are going to say that no mid-major deserves to play for a national championship again.

3. The NFC West quarterbacks are awful

This morning I was calling for Alex Smith’s head on Mike Sando’s (an ESPN blogger) Facebook page when an Arizona fan teased me about wanting to get a new QB. My immediate response was to bash Max Hall, and that’s when I realized how bad the QBs in the entire division are.

Name/QB Rating/TDs/INTs
Smith / 71.6 / 6 / 9
Hasselback / 70.7 / 4 / 6
Bradford / 66.5 / 6 / 8
Hall / 60.5 / 0 / 2


To provide some context, amongst starting quarterbacks only Jimmy Clausen, Brett Favre, and Bruce Gradkowski, have worse QB ratings than the highest rated NFC west QB.

4. Max Hall is a winner

I have never liked Max Hall. His arm is weak and everyone I know who has met him as left with a bad taste in their mouth. But you have to give credit where credit is due. Not only did Max Hall become BYU’s all-time winningnest quarterback, but in his first NFL start he beat the defending Super Bowl champions.

5. The 49ers suck but will finish the season better than the Broncos

The 49ers are bad. They are 0-5. However, they have lost 3 out of their 5 games during the last minute to playoff caliber teams. Their remaining schedule is fairly easy. They can still win 6 to 8 games this year.

The Broncos are also bad. They are 2-3. Their remaining schedule is tougher. They will win 4-5 more games this year. Thus, I reason if the 49ers beat the Broncos during week 8, the 49ers will finish the season with a better record.

Perhaps I’m delusional. However, every Bronco fan I have ever met believes they will win the Super Bowl every year...I'm in good company.

Saturday, July 31, 2010

Getting Back Up





Remember this?

In 2007 Jake Brown in his final run lost control of his board and fell 45 feet. He hit the ground so hard that his shoes flew off his feet. The impact knocked him unconscious. ESPN commentators stated it was the worst fall they had ever seen.

Jake Brown was 32 years old when he fell. He had never won an X-games gold medal. No one would blame him if he didn't want to continue.

Despite the epic fall, Jake did come back. He won his first gold in 2009.
And then won again last night.

This is why I love sports. It may not be of any lasting importance, but watching stand back up after being beaten down is inspirational. And in our world where forces seem to be conspiring against us to beat us down, we all need a little inspiration.

Tuesday, July 13, 2010

BYU Sporting Fix.

ESPN Blogger James Walker predicts that John Beck has about a 60% chance of getting cut by the Ravens. http://espn.go.com/blog/afcnorth/post/_/id/14800/afc-north-roster-bubbles

KSL.com has a nice interview piece with John Beck. http://www.ksl.com/?nid=294&sid=11552470

ESPN NFL analyst Len Pasquerelli thinks that Harvey Unga will be the top player taken in Thursday’s supplemental draft. However, Pasquerelli notes that most players taken in the S-draft do poorly. http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/columns/story?columnist=pasquarelli_len&id=5375548

MWC.com reports that Jimmer Fredette was one of 20 athletes to be chosen to play on Team USA’s practice squad. http://www.themwc.com/sports/m-baskbl/spec-rel/070910aae.html

Ryan Mink has a great piece on TE Dennis Pitta’s journey from a BYU walk-on to the NFL. http://www.baltimoreravens.com/News/Articles/2010/05/From_Unknown_To_Unmatched.aspx

The Salt Lake Tribune reports on BYU’s hiring of Mike Hall as head of BYU’s basketball operations. http://www.sltrib.com/sltrib/sports/49916180-77/hall-byu-basketball-mike.html.csp

Talo Steves of TrueBlueSports.com details BYU’s efforts to sign 275 pound high school junior Hiva Lutui. http://byu.scout.com/2/983705.html

The Daily Herald has a piece on BYU basketball’s national championship team. http://heraldextra.com/sports/article_20ecaa16-9bcb-5d6b-9527-c8fbeb690c7d.html

BYU’s official site released next year’s basketball roster and breaks down each position. http://www.byucougars.com/Filing.jsp?ID=14159

Blue Ribbon predicts that BYU football will wind up with an 9-3 record and a shot to get 10 wins in a bowl game. http://insider.espn.go.com/ncf/insider/news/story?id=5358109

Monday, July 12, 2010

5 Winners and Losers of the Summer of LeBron

Winners

D-Wade – Perhaps nobody came out of this mess better than D-Wade. Miami is and will forever be Wade town. Any success the trio has will fall upon him. In many ways this situation is eerily similar to the New York Yankees. A-Rod is the best player but when you think Yankees you think of Jeter. James is going to have a hard time establishing himself as the greatest player of all time living under Wade’s shadow.





Stephen A. Smith – Smith comes out of this ordeal golden. He correctly predicted where the King would land and got a lot of publicity in the process. The last few days before “The Decision” you couldn’t avoid him if you wanted to.





Dan Gilbert – It would be easy to criticize the Cavs owner. If he could have held on to Boozer years ago then LeBron would already have 2 rings. If he would have dealt Shaq’s contract sooner the Cavs may have kept LeBron. If he would have been building for the future, such as the Thunder have done, he would have some pieces to rebuild with. Despite all of Dan Gilbert’s failures, he has successfully turned all the blame towards LeBron. By promising his fans that they will win a title before Miami he has transformed himself into the hero.



Twitter – Twitter established itself as the source for up to the date sports news. With Chris Bosh posted his every move there. Kevin Durant first announced his contract extension there. D-Wade continues to post his feelings there. Sports columnists were able to post their unsubstantiated theories there. It was definitely a lot of good exposure for Twitter.




Players Union – In an economy where everyone is hurting, it was already going to be tough for the owners to explain how their businesses were still turning a profit. Through in the teams’ willingness to throw max deals at Joe Johnson, Amare, and the likes and it is going to be near impossible for them to argue they don’t have the money to raise player salaries.





Losers

King James’s brand – LeBron has been blasted repeatedly by just about every major news agency. Even David Stern has come out and said that LeBron’s actions were “ill-advised.” The King went from universally loved to universally hated in an 1 hour segment.





Atlanta Hawks – How in the world did Joe Johnson end up with the biggest payday this off-season? He might not even be the best player on his own team. This contract will haunt the Hawks for a long time.





Jordan Farmar – When Farmer said that he was going to leave the Lakers he had a perfectly legitimate reason: he wanted to be a starter. Can you explain why then he signed with the Nets? Last time I checked Devin Harris is pretty darned good and isn’t about to retire any time soon.



Utah Jazz – My heart breaks for the Jazz perhaps more than any other team. They lost both Boozer and Korver to the Chicago Bulls. If the Bulls win with a great point guard and those two it may be too much for Jazz fans to handle. Throw in that the Jazz may still lose Mathews and it is a bleak time to be a Jazz fan.



Small market teams – The days when teams picked their players may be limited. Superstars teaming up together may become the new norm. Already there are talks of Chris Paul teaming up with Carmelo and Amare in New York next season. If this does become the new reality it is going to be increasingly more difficult for smaller markets to attract the stars.

Wednesday, June 30, 2010

Draft Strategy

Disclaimer

I feel that I should begin this article with a disclaimer. Fantasy football is about having fun. The best teams often lose and people often win with strategies based off which player they like most. I personally have had Wes Welker in every league for years simply because he is my favorite player in the NFL. That being said, it is fun to win, and there is a better way to draft than filling your starting spots one by one.

Why do RBs Go off the Board so Early?

Ever wonder why running backs always go off the board first? After all in 2009 nine out of the top ten highest scoring players were quarterbacks. Similarly why do kickers go so late? Last year, Nate Keading outscored such notable players as Marcus Colston, Chad Ochocinco, and LaDainian Tomilson. The answer lies in how deep each position is in a given year. More specifically the point differential between the players within each position.

Running backs go off the board first because there are so few elite backs. Think about it. About half the teams suck at running (ex. the Colts), another third of the teams use several running backs (ex. the Cowboys.) That leaves only a small group of running backs who are capable of putting up a lot of points. Eliminate the injury prone players (ex. Larry Johnson) and there are only a handful of elite running backs.

Calculating the Point Differential

The key to drafting is figuring out how big the drop off is between any given player and the best player of that position that will still be available if you waited a round or two.

Allow me to drive this point home with an example. You have the very first pick in your ten man league. You have decided to spend your pick on the player who is projected to score more points than anyone else, Drew Brees. You then spend the next three rounds picking up a RB and two WRs. At the beginning of the fifth round you realize that you need your second RB so you pick up the best one available, Felix Jones. ESPN projects that the Brees / Jones combo will award you 470 points. Now, if instead you drafted Chris Johnson first overall and waited to pick up an average QB like Tony Romo at the start of the fifth, you would earn 550 points. Thus, even though Brees stands to earn more points than Johnson, Johnson is the better pick.

Now don’t assume what I have said means that you want to pick running backs over any other position. Once you get past those elite running backs things start to even out. For instance, if in our hypothetical we are now picking in the third and seventh rounds and we still need a RB and a QB, it now behooves you to pick the QB first. The best running back you will get in the third is Shone Greene and the best quarterback you will get in the seventh is Matt Ryan. That combo will earn you 391. Conversely, in the third you could still get Tom Brady, and Brandon Jacobs will still be around in the seventh. The Brady / Jacobs combo is worth 438 points.

Watch Out for the Runs

In an ideal world, you could sit down calculate out the drop off between each player and calculate out the perfect draft. But things don’t work out that way.

Let’s say according to your math and ESPN’s projections the best plan of action is to draft a RB in the first round, a WR in the second, a QB in the third, a RB in the fourth, a WR in the fifth, and a TE in the sixth. (I have no idea if this is really a sound strategy.) Things are going to plan until right before you pick in the fifth round someone picks up Dallas Clark and you feel that a run on the TEs is about to happen.

This puts you in a tricky situation. Sticking with your plan to draft a TE in the sixth would now be foolish. Antonio Gates will be gone and the difference between the third and the ninth TE is only 10 points. So you have to decide whether to grab Gates and his 26 point lead over the next best TE, or wait until the eleventh round when you can probably pick up a TE just as good as the one you would have gotten in the sixth.

A similar run could happen with the QBs, so be aware of where the drop off occurs. From the #1 QB to the #5 QB there is a 49 point drop off but from the #6 QB to the #10 QB there is only a 20 point drop off.

This is too complicated

Unless you are a mathematical wizard like Dave Barney or have way too much time on your hands, it is too much work to try and keep all the point differentials straight. There are just too many moving parts. That's alright. You don't need to know the actual point differentials, but be able to identify where the drop offs occur. Some people use a tiered system. For instance, Adrian Peterson, Chris Johnson, MJD, and Ray Rice are all tier 1 RBs and Benson, Greene and Grant are tier 3 RBs.

I prefer to ask myself, who will still be available if I waited a round to fill that position? Will there still be a good QB in the fourth round? It all boils down to this: the deeper the position is the more likely you can draft a quality player deeper in the draft.

Wednesday, June 23, 2010

Fantasy Football Busts and Sleepers

Tomorrow is the NBA draft. It’s a time for a great deal of excitement and intrigue. But if your team doesn’t pick in the first round (Lakers, Cleveland, etc) then it’s not quite as exciting. Unlike the NFL draft, the great majority of people who get drafted in the NBA never become starters. The chances a second round player will make a meaningful impact are low. For all you fans whose team is not likely to draft someone awesome, don’t worry because we will be discussing a different type of draft. Fantasy Football. I’ve asked the best of the Blitz league to get their opinion on this year’s sleepers and busts.


Adam Tate – In 2007 he owned a team with Tom Brady, Wes Welker, LaDainian Tomilson, and Antonio Gates and still only placed third in his league.

Bust - Andre Johnson - Don't get me wrong Andre Johnson will still be good. However, I don't think he warrants being the number 1 receiver this year, and definitely don't think he worth the number 7 pick overall. I understand that he has had back to back great seasons. But the Texans have the toughest schedule in the league. There is a five game stretch where they have to play the Jets, Titans, Eagles, Ravens, Titans in consecutive weeks.

Sleeper - Eddie Royal - ESPN current projects Royal to be 163rd best player on the board. That means in a twelve man league he will be available in the 13th round. Granted last year wasn't the best, but a sophomore slump is not unheard of, and during his rookie year Royal pulled in 91 receptions for nearly 1000 yards.


Joe Kenny – In 2008 he played in three leagues including the Blitz League and took GOLD in all three leagues.

Bust – Lots of players are going to be busts this year: Mark Bulger, Jake Delhomme, Tim Hightower, Hester, Forte and DeSean Jackson (in no particular order).

Sleeper - Chad Henne – Henne has an arm plus he stands to gain with the addition of Brandon Marshall.


Kyle Kenny - Kyle Kenny is the commissioner of the Blitz fantasy football league. In five seasons, Kyle has reached the playoffs four times, with three top-three finishes (Gold in 2005). In all leagues played, Kyle has an overall record of 106-93.

Bust – Lesean McCoy - I was very unconvinced with his role spelling (and subsequently replacing) Brian Westbrook in the lineup. Mike Bell is coming off of a year in New Orleans in which he easily matched the numbers of incumbent starter Pierre Thomas (which were good numbers, mind you). While I won’t outright predict McCoy being supplanted as starter like I famously did two years ago with Kurt Warner and Matt Leinart, I do have my doubts that LeSean is the answer in Philadelphia.

Sleeper – Matt Ryan - Matt Ryan had a satisfactory 2009 season… without a fully functional offense at his disposal. I’m not a scout or an analyst, but such professionals have nothing but rave reviews of Matt Ryan’s development as an NFL quarterback. With two years of quarterbacking successful seasons under his belt, Roddy White and Tony Gonzalez on the other side of the ball, and a healthy Michael Turner, a breakout season is in the works that will push Matt Ryan’s value up to that of an upper tier quarterback.

Sleeper #2 – Chaz Schilens - Chaz Schilens was set to rise out of obscurity to emerge as the Raiders top nod option coming into the 2009 season when he suffered a broken foot, missing eight games, and returning to one of the worst merry-go-round situations at quarterback possible. While not completely safe to say Jason Campbell is the savior of Oakland, it is comforting to know the Raiders have a serviceable quarterback who posted decent numbers even under a terrible offensive line in Washington. To top that, Chaz’s athletic ability puts him at 6-foot-4, a 4.38 40 and incredible hands during training camp last year. Looking at ESPN’s board, I would be comfortable moving Chaz above several other receivers for the upcoming draft.


Mark Mills – Mark has played with various team names including: Salt Lake Slutzz, Crazy Crack Clowns, Dead Rabbits, and Apocalypse ponies.

Bust - Shonn Greene - I know he's on the Jets, but that doesn't mean he is a sure thing to run wild. I think he might do okay, but to say he is #12 with nothing really proven is too risky, and I can see a bust.

Sleeper - Kevin Kolb - The Eagles pass heavy offense is going to help Kolb rack up the fantasy points. The team obviously has extreme confidence in Kolb, so why should we think otherwise. Remember this is not a rookie on a bad team, this is a guy who has been under the system and learned the right way to lead the team. Does anyone remember Aaron Rodgers??


Matt Christensen – Matt has an overall record of 47-49. He placed second in multiple leagues in 2008.

Bust - Steven Jackson - The guy has been in the top projected rankings for a few years now, and I only remember him having one good season. The Rams are still not good enough to take the load off of him. Every team just stacks the line and plays against him.

Sleeper - Matthew Stafford - I liked how this kid held his own last year. And he had a few games when he did go off and have 3+ touchdowns. I still think that the Lions will have a semi-crappy year, but I think he will be more consistent in his scoring.

Side notes – Ryan Matherws is not a sleeper! In ESPN’s mock draft central he averaging 16th overall.

Friday, June 18, 2010

How I Learned to Love Ron Artest


In 2009 I hated the Houston Rockets. During the seven game series between the Lakers and the Rockets I even hated them more than the Boston Celtics, New York Yankees, and the SEC. Absolute disdain. I hated Shane Battier and his flawless defense. I hated Aaron Brooks every time he would fly by the slower Derek Fisher. I absolutely hated everything about Luis Scola - especially his greasy nasty hair. Perhaps most of all I hated Ron Artest. I hated him for the melee, I hated his toughness, I hated his outside shot, I hated him.

By contrast, I loved Trevor Ariza. I loved that he went undrafted, loved that he always played hard, loved his three point shooting, most of all I loved the pivotal steals he made during the series with the Rockets. After that series I had decided that the next time I was back in Los Angeles I was going to buy my first Laker jersey, and it would say Ariza.

Then summer rolled around and the Lakers effectively traded my favorite Laker for Ron - I’m going to jump in the stands and murder you - Artest. As a Laker fan I was more than a little on edge. I understood that Ariza was asking for too much money, but Artest? Really?
During the regular season Ron Ron stunk. His offensive numbers dropped dramatically: 17.1 ppg – 11.0 ppg; 5.2 rpg – 4.3 rpg; .748 ft% - .688 ft%; .399 3% - .3555. More disconcerting than Ron’s offensive struggles was the fact that he just didn’t seem as tough. He no longer imposed fear on those he guarded.

Then the playoffs started and Artest threw up two consecutive stink bombs. Game 1: 3-11 shooting and 3 rebounds; Game 2: 2-10 shooting and 4 rebounds. Most notably his three-point shooting was off – way off. During the first round of the playoffs Artest shot a miserable .188% from behind the ark. That’s when the public really turned on him. Every time he got the ball thousands of fans offered silent prayers that he would not shoot. As my roommates pointed out he became the most disrespected starter on an NBA team.

That was the first time I started rooting for Artest. My heart broke for him. It seemed clear that all he wanted to do was put his past behind him. He just wanted the city of L.A. to love him. Instead they hated him. They missed Ariza. They were secretly expecting him to blow up and kill someone at any moment.

He played better during the Utah series, including a brilliant game three on the road. During that game he shot 7-13 and hit 4 three pointers. The Lakers won the game by one point and nailed sucked all the remaining life from the Jazz. And yet, Artest was still disrespected. I started to root for him even more.

He played even better during the Phoenix series. He averaged over 14 points, including a series changing game winner and a 25 point throw down in game 6. Ron Artest was secretly becoming one of my favorites.

Finally, the Lakers met up with the Boston Celtics. Oh how I loathe the Celtics. I am sure that there are few greater pleasures in the world than punching Brian Scalabrine in the face. I am too young to really remember the epic wars in the 60’s and 80’s, but 2008 is more than enough for me. The game 4 meltdown during the 2008 series still gives me nightmares. I cringe when I think of Paul Peirce and that stupid wheelchair.


I was more than a little scared before the start of that first game. But the Lakers came out on fire and wasted the Celtics. The Lakers best player – Ron Artest. The Lakers were an amazing +26 when he was on the court. He shot over 50% from the field, 60% from 3 point land, and 100% from the free throw line. Over the next few games Ron accepted his role as a lock down defender. Paul Pierce still got his points, but it was clear the Lakers were a much better team when Artest was on the court. I really really liked Artest now. I even made some occasional facebook comments about how great he was.

Then Ron Artest won game 7. And make no mistake he was the one who won it. During that first half Kobe and Pau were freaked out of their minds. Every shot that Kobe took was awful. No one could hit the shots that Kobe was taking. And Pau was so nervous that he couldn’t hit a free throw to save his life. (Gasol shot 79% during the season and just 54% during game 7.) Ron Artest on the other hand had 12 second quarter points. He kept the Lakers alive offensively until the rest of the team calmed down Ron stayed awesome down the stretch, hitting a crucial three pointer in the 4th and finishing the game with 20 points. Defensively Artest was even better. He Force Paul Pierce into 5-15 shooting and had 5 steals. Ron Artest was my MVP of the series.

You would think that after his performance during the game I couldn’t get any higher on Ron Artest. You would think wrong. His post game interviews were the funniest things I have seen in a long time. He was bouncing around like a little kid on crack. He thanked his psychiatrist for helping him calm down. He thanked his Dad for beating him up as a kid. He told the world that he was crying before the game. He told the world he was dumb. He even admitted that he didn’t realize he was playing for the championship until they handed him a championship hat. However my favorite correspondence was regarding his crucial three-pointer. He told the world that before he shot the ball he heard the voice of Coach Phil Jackson telling him not to shoot and the voice of God telling him to shoot it.

It is no wonder that Luke Walton said that there is no one on the team that they root for more than Ron. I freaking love Ron Artest.

Monday, June 14, 2010

Texas staying put: What does this mean for the MWC?

Texas announced today that it will remain in the Big 12. Shortly thereafter Texas Tech, and the other Big 12 schools followed suit. Giving us the extremely parodixical situation where the Big 10 has 12 members and the Big 12 only has 10.

What does all this mean for the MWC?

One argument could be made that a Nebraska-less Big 12 is worse than a Boise State driven MWC. If you look at the final standings the MWC finished 4th (Boise State), 6th (TCU), 12 (BYU), and 18th (Utah) whereas the Big 12 only finished 2nd (Texas) and 21st (Texas Tech.) However, MWC shouldn't get their hopes up about stealing the Big 12's automatic bid. In the end the BCS is still about money and Texas brings in more of it than all the MWC schools combined.

More importantly, the MWC may not come out of this whole process unscathed. Now that the Pac 10 has lost its primary target (Texas) it may settle for Utah as a back up plan. This would have two key advantages. First, it would allow the Pac 10 to grab a new TV market. Second, Utah would allow the PAC 10 to finally have a conference final game (under BCS rules you cannot have a league championship game unless you have 12 teams.) This is particularly interesting because the Big 12 teams who were thinking about defecting had no interest in having a championship game.

Would Utah leave? Why wouldn't they? More money, more television time, bigger recruiting market, automatic BCS bid, bragging rights to BYU about being invited while they got snubbed. Sure the rivalry between BYU and Utah will be affected. But the schools could work out some deal where the teams play each other much like BYU plays Utah State every year.

The damage to the MWC might not stop there. The Big 12 may try and rebound by recruiting some more teams. TCU would be the logical choice given their proximity to the rest of the school and their recent success. Fortunately, early reports indicate that the Big 12 seems content only having 10 teams.

Losing Utah would be a big blow to the MWC. There aren't any other teams really worth recruiting. (Unless some really wacky happens and Notre Dame joins.) For now the MWC can do nothing but wait and hope that either the Pac 10 doesn't continue expanding or Utah turns them down.

Saturday, June 12, 2010

Big 12 Killers: It’s about more than football.

By Kyle Kenny


Being a Nebraska native, I’ve been watching a little closer than some the whole speculation of Nebraska moving to the Big 10 Conference. Now that move is official. Many have their heads scratching as to why they would move from a conference where they were relative big fish. There are several good reasons, the least having to do with football itself.


I. Show me the money. I am a fan of pro football. I have a lot of friends, however, that are strong proponents for college football. To these friends, they feel more team spirit prevalent and feel it is “less about the money, more about the spirit.” I have always disagreed with these arguments. Measuring team spirit of players and fans between any sport—college or pro—is impossibly subjective of an argument to consider. However, anyone who believes college sports isn’t about the money needs a serious reality check. The mere existence of the BCS is proof that money talks more than passion of the game. Also, while players themselves aren’t necessarily playing for money, some players are playing for the CHANCE to get big money on draft day. Some, as headlined in the news from time to time, DO receive money in the form of kickbacks while attending college. But I am digressing. The Big Ten offers something to Nebraska that the Big 12 couldn’t do during its entire existence: maximize cash flow to the School’s athletic program. I read a recent article that stated on average, the Big Ten schools received as much as $20 M per year from TV contract revenue via the Big Ten network. The Big 12, in comparison, only dished out $7-12 M, depending on the school. Fans nationwide will decry this as a “money grab.” But when you’re talking money in this proportion, it no longer becomes an athletics department issue, but rather a business issue for the school as a whole. This brings me to my next point.


II. Academics. Hopefully, college fans have not forgotten that the team in which they support is not an end in itself. Rather, it is merely an auxiliary to a much more important academic institution for higher learning and career development. Many fans are not aware that schools in the Big Ten are very much academically superior to schools in most other major conferences. While Nebraska is likely not currently on par in academic prestige as current Big Ten schools, the move will likely pressure Nebraska to make the changes to help it conform to the higher standards, and hence higher prestige. For the other several thousand attending, or planning to attend UNL that AREN’T part of any athletics program, dividends will be had in the form of a more relevant and prestigious degree.


III. Insurance. Nebraska knew that the conference was under attack, and with other power schools such as Texas and Oklahoma being targets of other major conferences, Nebraska didn’t want to be the odd man out. Nebraska insisted that it considered all alternatives, and decided the Big Ten invite was something they had wanted for years. Whether this be the real case or not, the application of game theory among the Big Twelve schools in my opinion had a definite role; in this instance of head games, Nebraska concluded that the other schools, despite their verbal stances, were already leaning on leaving. Whether or not that was truly the case will forever be open to speculation.


IV. Sports. Honestly, in my opinion, football (among other sports) itself was the least of the factors leading to the decision to move. I am likely wrong; however, in my defense, I would find difficulty accepting any argument that the Big Ten is far superior to the Big Twelve in strength of schedule, if at all superior. What this move does do is open doors to new regions/states/markets for recruiting purposes for all sports programs in Nebraska Athletics.


It will be intriguing to see the fallout of these conference decisions. Will Texas, Oklahoma, and co. move to the Pac-10? What other schools will the Pac-10 lure away if things don’t go as planned? Will MWC successfully snag Kansas and Missouri to keep itself from being part of the other, smaller conferences left in the dust? Will the Big Twelve figure out a way to salvage itself with its own add-ons of BYU and TCU? Whatever the result, bring on the chaos!

Friday, June 11, 2010

10 Odd World Cup Stories

The U.S. mens team’s bus got stuck behind an elephant. Twice.

The Brazillian referees who will be reffing the USA v. England match have been studying English obscenities to be able to properly award yellow cards.

The Netherlands soccer team has been banned from using Twitter after one of its members posted an offensive video.

Spain has banned its players from going on facebook or twitter because the sites are too distracting.

France’s sports minister is complaining that the French team is spending too much money on its hotel accomodations.

Argentina's Jonas Gutierrez fogot to pack any clothes for his trip to South Africa

Chile and England have forbidden their players from having sex during the World Cup. England has even installed video cameras to ensure that the WAGs (wives and girl-friends) keep their distance.

John Travolta danced in front of Australia’s team in an effort to wish them luck.

A London newspaper has reported that English striker Wayne Rooney looks like Shrek.

The announcers will likely have trouble pronouncing some of the names of the players: Klaas-Jan Huntelaar, Zdravko Kuzmanovic, Zlatan Ljubijankic, Sokratis Papastathopoulos.

Monday, June 7, 2010

Worst Time of the Year

Enjoy the NBA playoffs because we are almost upon the worst time of the year. That awful stretch of time when there is no NBA, NFL, NHL, college basketball, college football, or even smaller collegiate sports such as volleyball, lacrosse, or rugby. Baseball is all that is left, and even then all you get is meaningless uneventful games with playoffs still months away.

All that being said here are 5 reasons why this summer will be better than most.


Fantasy Football - FF has hit its height. It's no longer a guilty pleasure, but embraced by the casual football fan. As such new articles regarding draft strategy will periodically be released on the internet.





The Lebron Sweepstakes - This is the biggest free agent summer in recent history. Just about every great player can opt out of their contract. There will be a lot of movement and a lot of fun stories to follow.






Tiger Woods Redemption - It will be interesting to see if Tiger can get his game back.






Conference Realignment - the Big 10, Pac 10, and MWC are all looking to expand. The Big 12 and WAC are going to get screwed. How will your team fair?










The World Cup - the greatest spectacle in sports. Regardless if you like soccer or not, this is the most important sporting event. National pride will be on the line. U.S. v. England: The revolutionary war continues! It's going to be good.


Confrence Realignment: Revival of the Rocky Mountain Conference?

Today was supposed to be the day that the Mountain West Conference added Boise State to help enhance its resume for automatic BCS qualification. Instead the MWC released a statement that they were not going to do anything…for now. The move has infuriated fans of the smurf Add Imageturf as well as many loyal fans of the MWC. However, at least one poorly educated sports writer thinks it was the right decision.

By the end of this month the collegiate sporting landscape as we know it is going to be drastically different. The Pac 10 and the Big 10 are going to expand, and from the looks of it they are going to tear apart the Big 12. It seems that the Pac 10 has its eyes on Texas, Texas A&M, Texas Tech, Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, and either Colorado or Baylor. The Big 10 will snatch up Nebraska and Missouri. Its not quite clear how all of this will work out, but the rumors have gotten so strong that the Big 12 has issued an ultimatum to Nebraska and Missouri to either declare their loyalty to the Big 12 or get gone.

That’s why the MWC is buying its time. It doesn’t know how the landscape is going to play out. For instance, if the Big 12 really does get destroyed then the MWC doesn’t need to do anything to ensure that it becomes one of the major powers. However the MWC has indicated that it would be willing to add up to as many 6 new teams, meaning that it would likely go after the Big 12 left overs plus any WAC teams that it really wants.

My favorite theory, albeit rather unlikely, is the revival of the Rocky Mountain Conference. This conference would consist of the following rivals: Byu v. Utah; Tcu v. Boise State; Kansas v. Kansas State; Colorado v. Colorado State; and then two other schools likely UNLV and Air force. The most exciting thing about this set up is that as a new conference we could get out of the horrible agreement that we have with The Mountain and CBS. Also, think of what a basketball powerhouse we would become with the addition of Kansas and Kansas State.

My least favorite theory involves the MWC getting pilfered. The Big 12 after losing so many great teams snatches up TCU and BSU to try and recuperate. The Pac 10 wanting to grab the Utah and Colorado markets grabs Utah and CSU. I don’t think that this is that likely either. A scary, and more probable proposition, is that the Big 12 is able to maintain several but not all of its teams and only needs to get a couple of more teams. If this is the case, TCU is going to be sorely tempted with the automatic birth that the Big 12 provides.

In the end, it comes down to money not conference competitiveness. Oklahoma, Texas, Nebraska, and Missouri, make a lot of money and the Pac 10 and the Big 10 want a piece of that money. That’s why Boise State may get left out in the cold, they are a great football school but they cant bring in the dough. By Friday, when Nebraska and Missouri have to decide whether the bolt or to stay, things are going to either be a lot clearer or a lot more murky in the world of college sports. I personally am hoping for the later.

Tuesday, May 4, 2010

What ever happened to the NBA’s Flopping Fine?

By Mark Mills

The Spurs are officially going in to the second round and with that we have to endure another round of Manu Ginobli’s gut-renching flailing, flopping, and just overall ridiculousness. The Cavs are looking pretty good and you know what that means? Another month of Anderson Varejao getting constantly knocked down by the wind. And the Oscar goes to…..

Whenever possible I go right to the source, and this is certainly no exception. Here is what the highly credible (as far a whining goes) Rasheed Wallace said about flopping,

"All that bullsh**-a** calls they had out there. With Mike [Callahan] and Kenny [Mauer] — you've all seen that sh**. You saw them calls. The cats are flopping all over the floor and they're calling that sh**. That sh** ain't basketball out there. It's all f***ing entertainment. You all should know that sh**. It's all f***ing entertainment.”

Well said. Thank you Mr. Wallace.

We all feel that way about floppers. Even on my absolute favorite team I can’t stand when Andrei Kirilenko gets hit by Casper’s invisible fireball. And don’t even get me started on Divac, I might just club a baby seal if I ever see that guy suit up again.

The NBA back in May of 2008 said it would start to impose fines on players who clearly flopped.

So has anyone been fined for flopping in the NBA? Not that I could find. I searched up and down and I couldn’t find one instance of a NBA player getting fined for flopping. Maybe the NBA is trying to hide these under-the-table mysterious flopping fines. What I did find is that Rasheed Wallace got fined $30,000 for complaining after a game this year when he thought Hedo Turkoglu flopped, this is what he said:

"They've got to know that he's a da** flopper That's all Turkododo do. Flopping shouldn't get you nowhere. He acts like I shot him. ... That's not basketball, man. That's not defense. That's garbage, what it is. I'm glad I don't have too much of it left."

Another solid quote from the expert on referee missed calls. I hate to sound like I am defending Rasheed Wallace for crying out loud (literally), but to get fined for that comment seems like Stern is a little sensitive about the issue. So it looks like the NBA is not actually fining anyone for flopping, but for complaining about flopping.

The NBA playoffs are among us and flopping is in full force. I wouldn’t be surprised that some actor, I mean NBA player ends up effecting the game over some flopping antics. Will he get fined? Probably not, just don’t complain about it.

Let me say right now that almost all players sell a foul a bit at times to get a call, but I’m talking about blatant falling down and over-dramatizing just to get a cheap call on another player.

'Memo to Stern' it’s time to stop policing what everyone is saying and Tweeting about and start fining these guys for flopping. The hard part of fining a player for flopping it is so hard to tell if they did actually flop. In clear cases where a player blatantly throws himself to the ground according to the NBA rules a fine is in order. The NBA would then basically turn into the Academy Awards fining those who couldn’t sell their foul as well as others.

If the NBA didn’t think they could determine a flop why did they make the rule? So this basically comes down to the fact that the NBA and its fans were sick of floppers and wanted to do something about it. So, the NBA decided to just threat players with a fine and see if anything would change. Not surprisingly a hollow threat has not changed anything.

If you need any further examples just watch a Cavs or Spurs game. I would hate to have a few lame floppers help determine the outcome of a series.

Sunday, April 18, 2010

Mock Draft 2.0

Draft day is almost here. I decided to take the time and make another mock, but this time provide my reasoning behind each pick. You will notice that I don't have Clausen going anywhere. I actually think that he will go in the first round, but only because another team trades back up to get him.

#1 – Rams – Sam Bradford QB – Sam Bradford may not be the best player in the draft but the Rams desperately need someone to take over for Bulger. Furthermore, Rams management needs an excuse to keep their jobs. Drafting a defensive tackle wont buy enough job security.

#2 – Lions – Ndamukong Suh DT – It’s possible that the Lions draft an offensive tackle to protect their $45 million dollar investment named Matt Stafford. However, when the Lions drafted Calvin Johnson two years back they demonstrated that they will take the best player available. I have no question that Suh is the best player in this year’s draft.

#3 – Buccaneers – Gerald McCoy DT – The Bucks simply have too many holes to worry about drafting in accordance to their needs. Some people think McCoy is as a good if not better than Suh. The Bucks would be foolish to pass him up.

#4 – Redskins – Russell Okung OT – The Skins desperately need to improve on offense. Picking up McNabb was a start but they need to do more. The number #4 pick is too early to invest in Spiller or Bryant. Accordingly I think they impove their offensive by drafting the best tackle available.

#5 – Chiefs – Eric Berry S – Its possible that the Chiefs go with a Tackle. Cassel sure could use more than 1 second to throw the ball. However, if Eric Berry really is the next Ed Reed then you cannot pass him up.

#6 – Seahawks – Trent Williams OT – I think Bulaga is the better tackle, however he doesn’t fit the zone blocking system that the Seahawks employ as well is Williams. Williams is extremely athletic and would be a great fit for the Hawks who really need to sure up their offensive line.

#7 –Browns – Dan Williams N– A lot of people have Clausen going here. I just don’t think enough teams are sold on him. Dan Williams on the other hand is the only legitimate nose tackle in this year’s draft. I expect the Browns to go with the sure thing and then take a risk on Colt McCoy. As a side note I think that McCoy could thrive in the Browns system and would be a great use of a second round pick.

#8 – Raiders – Anthony Davis OT – There is less consensus about this pick than any other in this year’s draft. No one knows what the evil mastermind named Al Davis is going to do. The fun picks are Bruce Campbell and Jason Pierre Paul who are both so amazingly physically gifted. I think the Raiders settle on Davis who is athletically is just a notch down from those guys. Davis might turn out to best the tackle in this year’s class, however his character issues are a legitimate concern.

#9 – Bills – Brian Baluga OT – Baluga has no business dropping this far. In my opinion he is better than Okung or Davis, however he isn’t as athletic as either. Thus because the league overvalues potential, the Bills will get a steal with the ninth pick. This pick also serves as a death blow to the 49ers, Packers, and Patriots who were all hoping that an elite tackle would somehow make it to them.

#10 – Jaguars – Sergio Kindle OLB– The Jags could go in a lot of different situations here. I wouldn’t be surprised if they went with C.J. Spiller, he has the potential to be the next Chris Johnson, but ultimately I think they go with the best linebacker available. Picking Kindle would a smart move.

#11 – Broncos – Dez Bryant WR – With Marshall gone, and Royal stinking up a storm, the Broncos really need a receiving threat. Bryant is supposed to be very similar to Randy Moss. I can see McDaniels being intrigued by what he sees and convincing the team to pull the trigger.

#12 – Dolphins - Derrick Morgan DE– Miami filled a big need by getting Marshall. However they gave a lot to get him. They don’t have the luxury of taking any more risks in this off season. I think they will go with the big bodied Defensive End.

#13 – 49ers – Joe Haden – The 49ers will be bummed that the four top tackles will be off the board at this point. However, getting the best corner back in the league will be a great consolation prize.

#14 – Seahawks – C.J. Spiller RB – The Hawks need an offensive threat. The Williams brothers who are currently trying out are not the answer that they are looking for. Spiller, is the most explosive player in this years draft and could really provide the spark that the Seahawks need.


#15 – Giants – Rolando McClain ILB – The G-men need to replace pierce and get a new leader on defense. McClain is a supposed to be a beast and a great leader and is a perfect fit for this team.

#16 – Titans – Jason Pierre Paul OLB – This is about the part of the draft were I expect we will see a team trading back up to grab Clausen. Unfortunately for Clausen I am not going to try and predict trades and he is about to take a nose dive. Anyway back to the Titans, Paul is the most athletic person in this year’s draft. He has some other problems but I expect the Titans to take a shot here.

#17 – 49ers – Mike Iupati G – The 49ers are going to be frustrated at this spot. The top tackles are all gone and the top pass rushers just went off the board in the previous two picks. I would expect the 49ers to try and trade back at this point. If they traded down to the end of the draft they could get a decent tackle and pick up some draft capital so they can take a good pass rusher. However, since there is no trading in this mock, I predict the 49ers will do anything they can to improve their lousy line. Iupati is supposed to be the next Steve Hutchinson, if that’s true then the 49ers should definitely grab him.

#18 – Steelers – Maurkice Pouncey C – When both Mel and Todd agree it behooves you not to pick against them. Given that the Steelers are starting to rival the Bengals as the team with the most arrests on a weekly basis, it wouldn’t surprise me that they pick someone from Florida.

#19 – Falcons – Demaryius Thomas WR – The falcons could easily go with a pass rusher here. But I think that they will be interested in giving Matt Ryan some more weapons. He had a down year last year and a new toy could do the team good.

#20 – Texans – Kyle Wilson CB – Some people think that the Texans go after a running back here, however the Texans need to improve their pass defense. Kyle Wilson is a great great player who has been overlooked because he plays in a smaller conference. The Texans will be lucky to get him at 20.

#21 – Bengals – Jermaine Gresham TE – It’s somewhat discouraging to see that most experts think that the Bengals need a new TE. The only reason I occasionally watch the Bengals is to watch former BYU player Danielle Coats play. Still Coats isn’t a ball catcher and they desperately need another offensive weapon. In this scenario Demaryius Thomas is already off the board so they should go with the best TE available.

#22 – Patriots – Earl Thomas S – This isn’t a giant need for the Patriots. However, Thomas is supposed to have the best playmaking skills in this year’s draft and the Patriots are the best drafters in the league. They will be smart and grab the best player available.

#23 – Packers – Charles Brown OT – Last season Aaron Rodgers was sacked more times than Idaho Potatoes. Brown is the 6th best offensive linemen in the draft, but he is still good enough to fall in the first round.

#24 – Eagles – Taylor Mays S – I think Mays is simply too athletic to fall outside of the first round. The big criticism on Mays is that he looks to make the hit rather than making a play on the ball. However, the Eagles have always loved that type of rugged philosophy.

#25 – Ravens – Terrance Cody DT – the Ravens would have liked to get their hands on Gresham or Thomas in order to get more weapons for Flacco. However, they are both off of the board and it would be too much of a stretch to take the next best receiving threat. Cody would a good fit given all the defensive linemen that the Ravens lost in free agency.

#26 – Cardinals – Jerry Hughes DE – Perhaps I am biased because I saw him play on a regular basis, but Hughes is a beast. He is a straight out sacking machine that can really held a Cardinals defense which got depleted through free agency.

#27 – Cowboys – Brandon Graham DE – The cowboys would have loved to grab a left tackle. But all the good ones are gone so they go with the best player left on the board.

#28 – Chargers – Ryan Mathews RB – The Chargers really need a cornerback but the top cornerbacks are gone by this point. I think they will seek to address the hole at running back; Mathews would be a good find this far down the draft board.

#29 – Jets – Jared Oddrick DT – I think Oddrick would fit great in Rex Ryan’s blitzing defense. One of the best defenses in the league will get even better.

#30 – Vikings – Patrick Robinson CB – The Vikings desperately need to get a cornerback. Although Robinson is a reach, he still has a lot of potential and there is not an obvious best player available at this point anyway.

#31 – Colts – Kareem Jackson CB – The Colts lost Jackson and Jennings in their secondary to free agency. Kareem Jackson is smart enough to play in Colts cover 2 system and would be a good fit.

#32 – Saints – Sean Witherspoon OLB – The Saints lost Fujita, Witherspoon would be a great replacement for the super bowl champions.

Sunday, April 11, 2010

How the West Was Won


In my humble opinion the playoff races are the most exciting aspect of basketball. Sure the NBA playoffs are fun, but so often they consist of pure chalk. But enough of my humble opinions let’s take a deeper look at what is going on in the West.

The One Seed: Lakers

Lakers


The Lakers are the only team in the West whose playoffs seeding is secure. But they are still playing for prides sake. They have been losing right and left. They desperately need to find an identity before the playoffs.

Best: 58 wins - 1st

Worst: 56 wins - 1st

Tough games: no one

Prediction: 58 wins - 1st

The Three way Tie:

My predictions put Dallas, Utah, and Denver all tied at 54 games each. The tie-breakers for 3 teams first looks at whether the teams won their conference. Dallas and Denver will both have won theirs which would bump Utah to 4th place. Next we look at all three teams and their win loss records against each other. Dallas would come out on top.

Dallas


Dallas is in an interesting position. They are actually pulling for Denver to win out. Assuming Denver wins out they get the 2 seed. However if Dallas and the Jazz are tied at 54 and Denver loses a game, then the Jazz own the tie breaker over Dallas and would get the 2 seed. Given that Pop-a-zit has stated on a scale to 1-10 he wants his desire to play the Lakers in the first round is a negative 5, I think the Spurs win.

Best: 55 wins – 2nd

Worst: 53 wins – 5th

Tough games: Spurs

Prediction: 54 wins – 2nd

Denver


I think that Denver will beat the Suns. Frankly I don’t have much confidence in the Suns at all. Denver however has to be careful about an at home trap game against a decent Memphis team. The hardest thing for the Thuggets is going to be able to stay motivated without their ring leader and inspiring coach.

Best: 54 wins – 2nd

Worst: 52 wins – 5th

Tough Games: Phoenix

Prediction: 54 wins - 3rd

Utah


Perhaps my roommates have been spiking the koolaid but I think that the Jazz will win out. The Suns are a scary offensive team, but Utah is an even scarier home team. Boozer and Williams are in a rhythm and look to be near unstoppable offensively. As a Laker fan I am hoping that the Lakers can somehow work their way into 2nd or 3rd or lose their remaining games where they would lose a tie breaker with Oklahoma city. I don’t want to see them in the second round.

Best 54 wins -2nd

Worst 52 wins – 6th

Tough Games: Phoenix

Prediction: 54 wins – 4th

The Overrated: Phoenix

Phoenix


As you might have gathered by now I don’t have confidence in the Suns. They don’t play defense, they are not big, and I just don’t think they are very good. I predict them winning just one more game.

Best: 54 wins -2nd

Worst: 51 wins – 7th

Tough Games: Denver, Jazz, Rockets

Prediction: 52 wins – 5th

The 3 Teams Trying to Avoid the Lakers

Oklahoma city


I love watching this team play. Westbrook and Durant are simply amazing. Durant will overtake Lebron as the best pure scorer in the game. I think they beat the Blazers and win out. Unfortunately I think they are too young to go very far in the playoffs.

Best: 52 wins - 4th

Worst: 49 wins – 8th

Prediction: Blazers

Prediction: 52 wins – 6th

San Antonio


San Antonio has been getting a lot of hype recently. It’s true they have playoff experience, and they have one of the best coaches in the game. Nonetheless, they are about a bjillion years old. But, I still think they win out, they simply will have more to play for than Dallas.

Best: 51 wins -5th

Worst: 49 wins - 8th

Tough Games: Dallas

Prediction: 51 wins - 7th

Portland


Portland might be better than I think. Truth be told I haven’t seen them play much this year. They will be a scary good team if Oden can stay healthy. I also think that the Thunder pose too many matchup problems for the Portland. I think they will get 8th. (I originally had them losing to the Lakers but moments ago the Lakers collapsed under pressure.)

Best: 51 wins - 6th

Worst: 49 wins - 8th

Tough Games: Lakers, Thunder

Prediction: 50 wins -8th