Monday, October 11, 2010

5 football thoughts

1. BYU can still make a bowl game

To be bowl eligible a team has to win 50% of its games. BYU has already lost 4 games. Assuming they lose to TCU (4th) and Utah (11th) they would have to win every other game this season. However, the rest of the schedule is not exactly daunting: Wyoming (2-4), UNLV (1-5), CSU (1-5), and New Mexico (0-6). Assuming BYU makes and plays in a bowl game they would likely play some small team from a weak conference... BYU could have a 7 win season.

2. A BCS disaster would be better than a national championship

BSU, TCU, OSU, Oregon, LSU, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Missouri, Oklahoma State, Michigan State, Utah, Auburn, and Nevada are all currently undefeated. I don’t see anyone knocking off BSU, TCU, OSU, or Oregon. Throw in an undefeated Big 12 team, and a 0 or 1 loss SEC team and we could have 6 teams, all of which could legitimately claim they have the right to play for a national title.

Now imagine this possible scenario. BSU, TCU, OSU, Oregon, Nebraska, and MSU, all finish undefeated. Oklahoma’s only loss is in the Big 12 championship game to Nebraska, and LSU’s only loss is to Alabama who wins the SEC. Because the ACC and the Big East get automatic bids. 2 teams out of from BSU (#3), TCU (#4), or MSU (#13) Oklahoma(#6) or LSU (#9) would not get to play in a BCS Bowl game while the big east champion west Virginia (#25) and the ACC champion FSU (#16) do.

Two or more teams are going to get hosed. The more people who are angry at the current system the better shot we have at getting som sort of playoff. Whereas if BSU plays in the national championship the BCS lovers are going to claim that the system works. Worse still, if BSU loses to a good Ohio St. team the BCS lovers are going to say that no mid-major deserves to play for a national championship again.

3. The NFC West quarterbacks are awful

This morning I was calling for Alex Smith’s head on Mike Sando’s (an ESPN blogger) Facebook page when an Arizona fan teased me about wanting to get a new QB. My immediate response was to bash Max Hall, and that’s when I realized how bad the QBs in the entire division are.

Name/QB Rating/TDs/INTs
Smith / 71.6 / 6 / 9
Hasselback / 70.7 / 4 / 6
Bradford / 66.5 / 6 / 8
Hall / 60.5 / 0 / 2


To provide some context, amongst starting quarterbacks only Jimmy Clausen, Brett Favre, and Bruce Gradkowski, have worse QB ratings than the highest rated NFC west QB.

4. Max Hall is a winner

I have never liked Max Hall. His arm is weak and everyone I know who has met him as left with a bad taste in their mouth. But you have to give credit where credit is due. Not only did Max Hall become BYU’s all-time winningnest quarterback, but in his first NFL start he beat the defending Super Bowl champions.

5. The 49ers suck but will finish the season better than the Broncos

The 49ers are bad. They are 0-5. However, they have lost 3 out of their 5 games during the last minute to playoff caliber teams. Their remaining schedule is fairly easy. They can still win 6 to 8 games this year.

The Broncos are also bad. They are 2-3. Their remaining schedule is tougher. They will win 4-5 more games this year. Thus, I reason if the 49ers beat the Broncos during week 8, the 49ers will finish the season with a better record.

Perhaps I’m delusional. However, every Bronco fan I have ever met believes they will win the Super Bowl every year...I'm in good company.